Breeders Crown 3 Year Old Trotters Preview

11:31 AM 21 Aug 2014 NZST
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Our Twentyten - The horse to beat on Sunday Claudys Princess - Huge winning chance on Sunday One Over Da Moon - Needs to bring
Our Twentyten - The horse to best on Sunday
Claudys Princess - Huge winning chance on Sunday
One Over Da Moon - Needs to bring "A" game on Sunday

Harness racings big day on Sunday at Melton has drawn great fields throughout most of the divisions and the 3 year old trotters are no exception.

3 Year Old Trotters Breeders Crown Final

Unlike the two year old trotters where the fillies and colts are separated, at three they are all thrown in together which is a real shame.

The other disappointing thing in this years three year old final is the absence of the top Kiwi three year old trotters such as King Denny and Majestic Time but I suppose you can't be everywhere in a long season.

In our view in this years final there are really only four winning chances and we deal with those one by one.

First up is Our Twentyten who has drawn nicely at barrier four.

A serious contender in the classics in New Zealand before his sale to Australia to clients of Brent Lilley, Our Twentyten has quickly established himself as one of the best three year old trotters  in his adopted land.

His previous trainer Mark Purdon takes the drive on Sunday which in our view is another tick for Our Twentyten.

Our Twentyten does have real gate speed and we expect Mark Purdon to try to grab the lead early and dictate the tempo of the race.

The big danger is undoubtedly Claudys Princess who has drawn awkwardly at two on the second line.

She has finished either first or second in all of her 13 starts at three and a lot of those starts have been at Group or Listed level.

The danger is Claudys Princess is not in complete control of her own destiny from the second line but with the master Gavin Lang in the bike she can overcome the draw.

Her last win over Asdenro was an arrogant performance which shows she is right at the top of her game at the moment. 

The enigma of the race is without doubt the Kiwi  One Over Da Moon who has drawn barrier five and who has been in the Chris Lang barn for a couple of months now.

When he is good he is very good and when he is bad he is awful about sums up One Over Da Moon.

Can throw the toys out at times such as the Redwood Classic where he just self destructed and he did the same thing in the Harness Jewels in New Zealand as well but there is no doubting the ability is there.

One Over Da Moon was eased out of the gate the last time he raced at  Maryborough before finding the front and that was due to the fact he can over race if you chase him out of the gate which makes his job at  Group One level that much harder.

The last of the quartet we fancy is Asdenro who has drawn barrier three.

Asdenro has finished in the first three in 11 of 13 starts at three but has been unable to win since he starting racing in the Group and Listed races.

He is competitive but just half a length off the top trotters in this division.

Asdenro is a free going type who likes to lead but that tends to make him a sitting duck for the likes of Our Twentyten and Claudys Princess who have such high speed.

If he burns the gate in trying to hold out Our Twentyten then in our view he can't win the final as the favoured pair have that small class edge.

His best chance of winning this race is if the two favourites go to war and he runs over the top of them late in the piece. 

SELECTIONS

This is a very close call but we think the draw gives Our Twentyten the edge over Claudys Princess but there is not much in it.

One Over Da Moon needs to bring his "A' game to be a chance and we think the other two are going just a touch better than him at the moment although his class will always make him a threat.

Asdenro needs a few things to happen for him to win but the determination is certainly there.

Throw in Bad Habbott, Four Lillies and Lightning Calder for first fours

Harnesslink Media

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