Day At The Track

Inside look at Chicago harness racing - Guide

12:53 AM 28 Jan 2012 NZDT
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We will give you an informed look at tonight's racing program in Chicago. We have tailored the Players Guide for several types of betting style. What is your style? For me personally, it means being a contrarian and taking some chances. I will bet against the favorite whenever possible, if I think there is VALUE in another selection.

Sometimes the play is to key a favorite on top of the overvalued horses in exotics. If you are going to show a profit in this game, you must get value when you are investing your money. In the long run, creating this discipline is the difference between winning and losing.

The ratings list our top selections in order of their probability of winning. These ratings give no credence to the odds, although horses with value are included in these selections throughout the evening. It is our opinion of the top contenders, listed in order of their probability of winning. If you are a risk taker or value player, then Michael’s Plays should be of considerable interest to you. I will take calculated chances, selecting horses with more wagering value and higher odds. My plays may select fewer winners than my top rated selection, but in the long run, I believe Michael’s Plays will give you a higher return on your investment.

In closing, I remind you that the name of the game is not selecting the most winners. The name of the game is making money. Our goal is to have a profitable year. For the serious player, we know that is your goal as well.

Saturday, January 28th Balmoral Park selections

RACE             MICHAEL’S             TOP RATED HORSE              MICHAEL’S PLAY

NO.                RATINGS             (Conservative Choice)         (Speculative Opinion)

1                 5-9-3-6              5 LT’s Big Jake                9 Classified Info

2                 3-6-4-2             3 Power Of Tara N             6 Dabestleaderever

3                 2-3-4-10            2 Sherwood Secret            10 Mad Cow Lisa

4                 1-8-4-7              1 AJ’s Delight                  4 Pure Addiction

5                 2-6-7-5              2 Get Er Done                  5 Once A Cheater

6                 6-9-4-3-2           6 Oh Poncho                   4 Blueridgevalentino

7                 5-1-6-7              5 Executive Force

8                 4-8-7-1              4 Dee Dee Sage              1 Slippin Away

9                1-4-9-5               1 Best Man Hanover         4 Special Joe

10              8-3-7-2               8 Just By Design              2 Windsun Montecarlo

11               7-9-4-5              7 Bonn Scott                   4 Camgrandest

12              2-8-4-10              2 Dislocated                  4 OG’s Marie D

13              6-8-7-4-1             6 Life Is Good Today         4 Alabama Howard

PICK 4 CARRYOVER $11,662

GUARANTEED POOL $40,000

ESTIMATED POOL $61,662

$40,000 INSTANT GUARANTEE AT BALMORAL PARK

SATURDAY PICK 4 PLAYERS HAVE BIG ADVANTAGE WITH $11,662 CARRYOVER

January 27 – Chicago By Michael Antoniades, Balmoral Park Racing Analyst

Pick Four players get a dream opportunity Saturday at Balmoral Park. The combination of a healthy carryover and a low takeout of 15% creates the rarest of plays with a great investment opportunity.

A carryover of $11,662 will be added into the Saturday Pick Four pool. The USTA and Balmoral Park have created an instant guarantee of $40,000. The final Pick Four pool is estimated at $61,662, which gives the players an 8% house advantage.

Wagered tonight         Returned to winners        Players' edge            Gross Pool

$30,000                     $37,162                           23%                  $ 41,662

40,000                       45,662                            14%                     51,662

50,000                       54,162                             8%                     61,662

60,000                       62,662                             4%                      71,662

70,000                       71,662                             2%                      81,662

The Saturday Pick 4 is a complex puzzle with one nine horse field and three ten horse fields. The Saturday Pick Four is on the Final Four races and will start on race 10, immediately following The Meadowlands.

Through January 27, Balmoral Park sports one of the lowest percentage of winning favorites in recent memory. The combination of large fields and competitive racing in the 123 races offered in 2012 have resulted in 38 winning favorites for a percentage of 30.89%. This has resulted in the Balmoral Park handle soaring to an average of over $1,000,000 per night in 2012.

Balmoral Park races Wednesday, Saturday and Sunday evenings on the mile track with a first post of 7:10 central. Guaranteed Pick Fours are offered every racing night with guarantees of $15,000 on Wednesdays, $20,000 on Saturdays and $25,000 on Sundays.The Pick Four takeout is only 15%. Free 12-line program pages, expert selections and the complete January schedule for the Strategic Wagering program can be found at the USTA’s handicapping page.

PICK 4 CARRYOVER $11,662

GUARANTEED POOL $40,000

ESTIMATED POOL $61,662

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