Who Will Win The Euros? Picks by Dave Sanders

11:40 PM 26 Apr 2014 NZST
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Okay, so I really should be celebrating the fact that we got three first up picks in Leg 1  BBS Sugarlight (1.25),Leg 2  Borga Effekt  (4.39), Leg 5 Caramella B.F  (6.03) and for our $2 win bets we picked up $23.24 and even with Timoko shocker in the Prix de l’Atlantique.

But...

We’ve followed Leg 6 runner Chapeau all year, and as it always happens the minute you take the dollar off him, it’s enough off his back to propel him to a win – AT 14.96. AAAAARGH.

Okay, I’ve calmed down, I really have.

As for the other picks, Ed You nosed out Digital Ink, on the line by the shortest of noses and I wouldn’t have picked him in a million goes. Chapeau (AAAAARGH) dudded our sixth leg and the failure of Asterix Hornline our anchor, stopped us getting a share of the 5 correct.

Anyhoo, we brush ourselves off and get back in the saddle for this week’s racing, which is top draw at Argentan and Aby.

So  Good luck.

V75-1 Lovely Godivas lopp   2140m: Although there are quite a few here such as Stylish Hanover (5), Gislea As (7), M.T Harmony (6) and Hankypanky Pagan (12) who have real claims here,   I think the draw makes this a race between two of the inside horses in Youana (1) and Sahara Fairytale (3).  Selection 1 (3) 

V75-2 Klass I  2140m:  In our system we need to straight anchors, and Pedro Bi (1), with eight wins in 16 attempts looks like a horse on the up, which won’t stop here. From the pole he is my first anchor.  Selection  1

V75-3 Olympiatravet, Final (GrI UET Masters Series)  2140m:   So many good horses in this and you need to go quite wide to get the winner. Noras Bean (10), Yarrah Boko (8) and Sanity (7) are the big guns but from the draw I fancy Andover Hall stallion Brad de Veluwe (4) to get a piece of this.    Selection  10-8-7-4

V75-4 Klass II   1640m:  This looks like a race between the highly impressive Ni Talar Bra Latin (10)  and Confectioner (11)  who has picket line form. These two pick themselves.  Selection 10 (11) 

V75-5 Olympiatravsstayern  3140m:  Six of Winning Loves (15) 20wins wins are over this distance, and he has plenty of placings too. A 20m handicap is nothing over 2 miles and he will be in the mix. Paying Love (12)  and Freeman T Porter (14)  should be kept safe. Selection 12-14-15

V75-6 Silver division 2140m:  Nougat As (8) and By Air (3) have strong claims in this race, we need a second anchor and I just think last start winner Olympic Kronos (6) is  a big  talent, and Lutfi Kolgjini will get him to the front and dominate proceedings. Fingers crossed though.  Selection  6

V75-7 Bronze division  1640m:   The Bronze division is the last, leg and we have kept our powder dry to hopefully cover this. Mr Pellegrino (4) , Paramount (1), Castor Boko (12) and KLM Buymethemoon (3) and Kaiser Broline (2) should give us a good shot at this. Selection  4-1-12-3-2

R4: Criterium  de Vitesse de Basse Normandy (GrII UET MS) 1609m:  Neither Thierry Duvaldestin or Jean-Paul Marmion have won this race before, despite illustrious careers and they front up with the race favourites in Swedishman (1) and Roi du Lupin (4) respectively. Both are geldings and so are ineligible to race in the French classics.  Roi du Lupin has won 1.5 million euros and has rtu second in this race before, while  Swedishman 580K has a highly accomplished career but this is his first start at a mile, although he has won at 2100m.  There are three other euro millionaires in the race, including the one with the fastest time, Reve de Beylev  (8) (1.09.5 or 1.51.4MR)  for Sebastien Guarato, who has also not won his region’s top race.  He has raced three times over a mile for two seconds and a third, behind champions Commander Crowe and Timoko, who are not in this field.  Despite the outside  draw, I think he can win this if he can get some cover and is my selection. Selection 8

TOTAL COMBINATIONS 60 – Cost $5, +1 alternate $10, + 2 alternate $20

SINGLE WAGERS  $2

Aby

Race 5  Youana (1)

Race 6  Pedro Bi (1)

Race 7  Brad de Veluwe (4)

Race 8  Ni Talar Bra Latin (10)  

Race 9  Winning Loves (15)

Race 10  Olympic Kronos (6)

Race 11     Mr Pellegrino (4)

Argentan

Race 4  Reve de Beylev  (8)

 

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